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Predicting the course of a pandemic: when will COVID-19 end?

Written by Jenny Straiton (Assistant Editor)

This article is based on past data so predictions may be incorrect due to chancing circumstances For an update on predictive modeling, see: The data of a pandemic: how has data influenced our understanding of COVID-19? Data scientists have utilized artificial intelligence to create data-driven predictions of the trajectories of COVID-19 in different countries, ultimately predicting when COVID-19 will end. The evolution and spread of a pandemic is not completely random. All pandemics, COVID-19 included, follow a standard life cycle that consists of set phases. Starting with the initial outbreak, pandemics can be tracked through their acceleration phase, inflection point, deacceleration...

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